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Forward Contract Valuation


A forward contract has no value at the time it is first entered into (i.e., its net present value is zero). However, as the contract advances in time, it may acquire a positive or negative value. Therefore, it would be financially much better to mark the contract to market, i.e., to value it every day during its life. The value of a long forward contract can be calculated using the following formula:

f = (F0 – K) e -r.T

where:
f is the current value of forward contract
F0 is the forward price agreed upon today, F0= S0. er.T
K is the delivery price for a contract negotiated some time ago
r is the risk-free interest rate applicable to the life of forward contract or a respective period within
T is the delivery date
S0 is the spot price of underlying asset

Similarly, the value of a short forward contract is given by:

f = (K – F0). e -r.T

For example, suppose a long forward contract on a non-dividend-paying stock (current stock price= $50) which has currently 3 months left to maturity. If the delivery price is $47, and the risk-free interest rate is 5%, then the value of this contract can be calculated in two steps:

First, we find the forward price (i.e. the 3-month forward price):

F0 = 50 x e0.05×3/12

Then, we plug this price along with the above information in the formula of long forward contract value:

f = ( 50.63 – 47) e-0.05×3/12 =  3.63 x 0.9876 = $ 3.585



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