Derivatives
Crack Swap
May 10, 2021
Derivatives
Crack Spread Swap
May 10, 2021

An index that captures the deviation between actual income and trend income. The higher the index, the more unstable (less stable) a firm’s profitability is. A firm with an unstable earnings trend is exposed to a higher degree of risk than a firm with a stable trend. The instability index is calculated using the following formula:

Instability Index

Where: y is the reported net income and yT is the trend income for period T. The trend income is usually computed using a trend equation such as this:

yT= a + b (t)

Where: a is the dollar intercept, b is the slope of trend line, and t is the time period.

Other measures of earnings stability or instability include:

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